El Niño 2026–27 in Australia and New Zealand
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | likely drier (55/25/20%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| New Zealand | likely wetter (6/29/65%) | mixed (15 seasons) | no clear signal |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).