El Niño 2026–27 in Central Asia
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan | likely wetter (4/14/82%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Kyrgyzstan | likely wetter (4/21/75%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Tajikistan | likely wetter (10/12/78%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Turkmenistan | likely wetter (2/8/90%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Uzbekistan | likely wetter (2/12/86%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).