El Niño 2026–27 in Eastern Asia
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | likely wetter (0/14/86%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Dem. Rep. Korea | likely wetter (8/19/73%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Hong Kong | likely wetter (6/16/78%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Japan | likely wetter (0/20/80%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Macao | likely wetter (8/10/82%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Mongolia | likely wetter (2/12/86%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Republic of Korea | likely wetter (6/19/75%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Taiwan | likely wetter (16/13/71%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).