El Niño 2026–27 in Micronesia
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federated States of Micronesia | likely drier (100/0/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Guam | likely drier (100/0/0%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Kiribati | likely wetter (0/0/100%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Marshall Islands | likely drier (100/0/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Nauru | likely wetter (0/20/80%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Northern Mariana Islands | likely drier (94/4/2%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Palau | likely drier (100/0/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).