El Niño 2026–27 in Middle Africa
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angola | likely wetter (22/25/53%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Cameroon | likely drier (75/17/8%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Central African Republic | likely drier (55/25/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Chad | likely drier (57/23/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | no clear signal (29/34/37%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Equatorial Guinea | likely drier (78/18/4%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Gabon | likely drier (51/33/16%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Republic of the Congo | leaning drier (47/33/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| São Tomé and Principe | likely drier (67/23/10%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).