El Niño 2026–27 in Northern America
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda | likely wetter (0/2/98%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Canada | leaning wetter (14/41/45%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Greenland | likely drier (55/25/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| United States | likely wetter (2/18/80%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).