El Niño 2026–27 in Western Asia
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | likely wetter (6/29/65%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Azerbaijan | likely wetter (6/21/73%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Bahrain | leaning wetter (4/55/41%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Cyprus | likely drier (59/21/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Georgia | likely wetter (8/39/53%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Iraq | likely wetter (12/25/63%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Israel | no clear signal (33/28/39%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Jordan | leaning wetter (25/32/43%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Kuwait | leaning wetter (18/35/47%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Lebanon | leaning drier (45/33/22%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Northern Cyprus | likely drier (55/25/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Oman | likely wetter (12/35/53%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Palestine | leaning wetter (31/26/43%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Qatar | leaning wetter (12/41/47%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Saudi Arabia | leaning wetter (22/35/43%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Syria | leaning wetter (29/24/47%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Turkey | leaning wetter (18/33/49%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| United Arab Emirates | likely wetter (8/27/65%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Yemen | likely wetter (18/29/53%) | usually wetter (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).