El Niño 2026–27 in Western Europe
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | leaning wetter (16/39/45%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Belgium | likely wetter (12/37/51%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| France | no clear signal (31/30/39%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Germany | likely wetter (14/35/51%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Liechtenstein | leaning wetter (12/39/49%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Luxembourg | likely wetter (6/41/53%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Monaco | leaning wetter (20/31/49%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Netherlands | likely wetter (20/27/53%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Switzerland | leaning wetter (8/47/45%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).