El Niño 2026–27 in South-Eastern Asia
Rainfall and temperature outlook for December–February, and what past El Niños did in the same season. Outlook issued November 2026.
| Country | Rainfall, December–February | Past El Niños, same season | Temperature |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brunei Darussalam | likely drier (98/2/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Cambodia | likely drier (65/27/8%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Indonesia | leaning wetter (18/39/43%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Lao PDR | no clear signal (29/38/33%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Malaysia | likely drier (94/6/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Myanmar | leaning drier (41/39/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Philippines | likely drier (100/0/0%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Singapore | likely wetter (2/31/67%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Thailand | no clear signal (35/45/20%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Timor-Leste | likely drier (61/25/14%) | usually drier (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
| Vietnam | likely drier (61/31/8%) | mixed (15 seasons) | likely warmer |
Rainfall odds shown as drier / normal / wetter. Sources: Copernicus Climate Change Service (outlook, ERA5); NOAA (El Niño seasons).